Netflix stock falls after earnings miss estimates, operating profit takes a hit


Netflix (NFLX) reported earnings that missed analyst expectations on both revenue and profit, sending shares around 6% lower in after-hours trading on Tuesday.

Netflix reported revenue of $11.51 billion, just shy of Bloomberg consensus estimates of $11.52 billion and slightly below the company’s own guidance of $11.53 billion. That compares to $9.82 billion in the same quarter last year.

Earnings per share came in at $5.87, missing analyst expectations of $6.94 and Netflix’s internal forecast of $6.87, though still above the $5.40 reported a year ago.

The company guided to revenue for the current quarter above Wall Street expectations, forecasting Q4 revenue of $11.96 billion compared to the $11.90 billion analysts polled by Bloomberg had expected.

Earnings are also expected to exceed expectations for the quarter. The company sees $5.45 a share, higher than analyst estimates of $5.42.

For full-year 2025, Netflix expects revenue of $45.1 billion, toward the upper end of its previous $44.8 billion to $45.2 billion forecast range.

Netflix reported an operating margin of 28%, below its forecast of 31.5%, due to an unexpected expense tied to an ongoing dispute with Brazilian tax authorities. The company said it would have exceeded its margin target excluding that charge and doesn’t expect the issue to materially affect future results.

Looking ahead, Netflix now forecasts a 2025 operating margin of 29%, down slightly from its prior expectation of 30%, reflecting the impact of the tax matter.

Adam Brody and Kristen Bell attend Netflix's
Adam Brody and Kristen Bell attend Netflix’s “Nobody Wants This” Season 2 Premiere on Oct. 16 in Los Angeles. (Emma McIntyre/Getty Images for Netflix) · Emma McIntyre via Getty Images

Netflix said “engagement remains healthy” thanks to a particularly strong content slate in the third quarter. That included the Canelo vs. Crawford fight, which drew over 41 million global viewers and was the most-watched men’s championship boxing match of the century, according to the company.

Animated breakout hit “KPop Demon Hunters” also became Netflix’s most-viewed film of all time, with 325 million views, underscoring the streamer’s ability to generate massive hits from relatively unknown IP.

Alongside its content push, executives have pointed to the $7.99 ad-supported tier as a longer-term driver of user growth, with the company reporting its strongest ad sales quarter to date.

Netflix said it now has a “solid foundation” and is “increasingly confident” in the outlook for its ads business, noting that ad revenue is on track to more than double in 2025 from a still-small base following a US upfront that saw commitments more than double year over year.

Netflix recently expanded its ad reach through a new Amazon (AMZN) DSP integration, giving marketers more ways to buy inventory on the platform.

JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth said the move should “support improved advertiser onboarding, flexible buying, and measurement” while bolstering ad spend across 11 markets starting in the current quarter.

According to Anmuth, Netflix’s advertising revenue is on track to more than double from $1.4 billion in 2024 to $2.9 billion in 2025 and increase another 45% to $4.2 billion by 2026.

Earlier this month, Netflix announced a new video podcast partnership with Spotify (SPOT), bringing select shows from Spotify Studios and The Ringer to Netflix in early 2026, including “The Bill Simmons Podcast,” “The Rewatchables,” and “Serial Killers,” among others.

The report comes as shares have climbed about 40% year to date but have lagged the broader market and tech peers in recent months amid questions over engagement growth, valuation, and rising competition from AI-driven content platforms.

Even with that pullback, the stock still trades at roughly 45 times forward earnings, a steep premium that’s left analysts divided on whether Netflix’s growth justifies the price.

Adding to the noise, Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) said Tuesday it has launched a review of strategic alternatives after receiving “unsolicited” interest from multiple parties for both the entire company and its Warner Bros. studio division.

Netflix has been cited as one of the reported suitors, though the company said on its earnings call that it has “no interest in owning legacy media networks.”

Meanwhile, recent controversy has added another layer of scrutiny. Elon Musk has urged users to cancel their Netflix subscriptions, accusing the company of pushing “woke” content. Netflix shares fell roughly 5% in the wake of Musk’s remarks, though the criticism has since subsided.

StockStory aims to help individual investors beat the market.
StockStory aims to help individual investors beat the market.

Allie Canal is a Senior Reporter at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @allie_canal, LinkedIn, and email her at alexandra.canal@yahoofinance.com.

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